Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework

Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework

Pries Capital’s Macroeconomic Framework where we believe the two most critical variables in any economy are “Growth” and “Inflation.” The level of growth or inflation is not as important as the direction because the economy and asset markets are relative, not static. When we look to forecast the expected future direction of these two variables: “Growth” and “Inflation.” Is the rate of economic growth going to rise or fall? Of the two factors, the direction of real economic growth is more important for asset price performance.

Points of discussion:
• The economy has long-term (secular) trends and shorter-term (cyclical) trends.
• Secular trends are slow-moving and are impacted most closely by demographics and debt.
• Cyclical trends are 6 to 18-month fluctuations in growth and inflation, which occur on top of secular trends that are 3 to 5-years in nature.
• Asset prices respond very closely to the cyclical trends in economic growth and inflation.
• Pries Capital’s Macroeconomic Framework monitors both critical trends and details the probable path forward for asset prices.

Pries Capital is a private equity investment research firm. Pries Capital generates exclusive stock market and real estate investment research for all types of investors. Whether you are an institutional investor or a retail investor, the firm strives to be the first-place investors go to for their quantitative macroeconomic research and financial market strategy.

With that said, "We have great challenges & great opportunities, and with our help we’ll meet them together!" – Jason Pries

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Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework
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  • Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework

    Air Date: February 6, 2022

    Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework where we believe the two most critical variables in any economy are “Growth” and “Inflation.” The level of growth or inflation is not as important as the direction because the economy and asset markets are relative, not static. Whe...

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    Pries Capital’s Economic Growth

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    Pries Capital’s Third Derivative

    Points of discussion:
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    Pries Capital’s Dispersion Model

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    Pries Capital’s Stock Selection Heat Map

    Points of discussion:
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    Pries Capital’s Top-Down Investment Portfolio

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