Asset Market Backtests
Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework • 1m 46s
Pries Capital’s Asset Market Backtests
Points of discussion:
• Backtesting assesses the viability of a trading strategy or pricing model by discovering how it would have played out retrospectively using historical data.
• The underlying theory is that any strategy that worked well in the past is likely to work well in the future, and conversely, any strategy that performed poorly in the past is likely to perform poorly in the future.
• When evaluating an idea on historical data, it is beneficial to reserve a time period of historical data for testing purposes. If it is successful, evaluating it on alternate time periods or out-of-sample data can help confirm its potential viability.
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