Factor Coincident Index
Pries Capital Macroeconomic Framework • 55s
Pries Capital’s Factor Coincident Index
Points of discussion:
• Coincident indicator refers to metrics that reflect the contemporaneous condition of the economy.
• Coincident indicators are often used in conjunction with leading and lagging indicators to get a full view of where the economy has been and how it is expected to change in the future.
• By compiling several indicators into an index, some of the short-term noise associated with individual indicators can be eliminated, giving a more reliable measure.
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Second Derivative
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Points of discussion:
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• The third derivative of position represents “jerk,” or the change in acceleration over time.
• The third derivative, or higher derivatives for that matter, are generally used to “improve the accuracy of an approximation to the function.”
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